WHY MUNICIPALITIES OWN THE GRID
In South Africa, municipalities buy bulk electricity from Eskom and resell it to residents and businesses. The markup is one of the largest revenue lines on a metro's budget — often 25-40% of total income. When a metro can't collect, it can't pay Eskom, and the cascade begins.
THE ESKOM DEBT SPIRAL
Municipalities collectively owe Eskom over R90 billion. Eskom owes its lenders. Lenders are guaranteed by the Treasury. Every unpaid municipal bill eventually lands on the sovereign balance sheet — which is why South Africa's debt-to-GDP has climbed from 26% in 2008 to over 75% today.
WHY BIG DEBTORS DON'T GET CUT
Disconnecting a household takes minutes. Disconnecting a steel mill, a mine, or a hospital triggers job losses, supply-chain shocks, and political fallout. Utilities everywhere face the same asymmetry: small debtors are easy targets, large ones become permanent arrears.
THE COEGA EXPERIMENT
Coega is a state-backed industrial development zone east of Gqeberha, launched in 1999 to industrialise the Eastern Cape. Tax breaks, serviced land, and subsidised utilities were the bait. Two decades on, the IDZ model has produced jobs but also a culture in which favoured tenants expect rescue financing the metro cannot afford.
THE LEGAL CHOKEPOINT
South African municipal credit decisions can be challenged under the Municipal Finance Management Act, which forbids financial assistance to private firms outside narrow exceptions. A judicial review of the transformer lease asks whether the metro acted ultra vires — beyond its legal powers — when it underwrote a private smelter.
THE RAND BACKDROP
Every R1 the metro lends and doesn't recover is a R1 it borrows in a market where the rand has lost a third of its value against the dollar over a decade. Sub-sovereign borrowing costs in South Africa carry a premium over the sovereign yield, which itself sits well above developed-market peers.